Remember on Monday when I said we breached our previous record high for infections twice in one week? Well, we did it again this week. “We’re #1” has a whole new meaning now. Friday, October 30th was revised higher to 415 infections, and Wednesday hit 402 infections, which will almost
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King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 11-2
I really didn’t think this model would be right. There was nothing in the numbers to say things were going to go up back in September. But they sure did, and fast. The model has absolutely nailed this portion of the COVID-19 outbreak. The 7-day average today is the highest
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 10-30
Remember when I said we hit a new high last week for COVID-19 infections? Well, this week we’ve already topped that number twice. It appears we are indeed in the midst of wave three. Now the question is how high and how long it will go. I thought that this
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 10-26
It’s been a couple weeks. Sorry about that. I’m sorry to report we recently had our highest daily total: 238 infections in a single day. That beats the two previous peaks. The trend is definitely moving up. I’ve heard of several people now in the Washington area that have caught
Continue readingThere’s something on the ballot that’s more important than Trump vs. Biden
The upcoming election on November 3rd is very important – clearly, I don’t have to tell you that. But there’s something on the ballot next month that is more important, with bigger long-term ramifications than the Presidential matchup of Trump vs. Biden. This issue is more important than the Governor
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 10-14
The big win last week was Bellevue Parks opened their playgrounds last week after the urging from my letter. My kids are in heaven! Back to business: here’s the 3-week trend. We’re definitely on our way up and entering wave #3. Here’s the longer-term view. The 5th order polynomial model
Continue readingBiden and the Green New Deal: Either it doesn’t pay for itself, or Biden is crazy for not supporting it
There was very, very little substance to last week’s presidential debate. We are all dumber for having watched it. However, there was one ~60-second section that piqued my interested – on the environment and the Green New Deal. Here’s the clip: Chris Wallace asked Biden if he was in favor
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 10-5
On Wednesday last week we had our biggest 1-day tally since August 14 with 192 infections. The two week trend is definitely up. It sure does look like Wave 3 is here and on the rise. We had very nice weather last week, so I wonder if we might have
Continue readingOpen letter to Michael Shiosaki and the Bellevue Parks Department to re-open Bellevue playgrounds
To Michael Shiosaki and whoever else this may concern, It’s been over 200 days that Bellevue Playgrounds have been closed. In the past several weeks, Kirkland and Redmond have both opened their playgrounds that are owned and maintained by the city. It’s time for Bellevue to do the same. The CDC has
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 9-28
Sorry if these posts are a little boring recently. Not a lot has happened. Feels like we’re playing the waiting game. Zooming out a little bit from the daily prediction, the 2nd half of September has been an inflection point, and numbers are ticking up. I don’t know if this
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