Category: Uncategorized

It’s been a couple weeks. Sorry about that. I’m sorry to report we recently had our highest daily total: 238 infections in a single day. That beats the two previous peaks. The trend is definitely moving up. I’ve heard of several people now in the Washington area that have caught

The upcoming election on November 3rd is very important – clearly, I don’t have to tell you that. But there’s something on the ballot next month that is more important, with bigger long-term ramifications than the Presidential matchup of Trump vs. Biden. This issue is more important than the Governor

The big win last week was Bellevue Parks opened their playgrounds last week after the urging from my letter. My kids are in heaven! Back to business: here’s the 3-week trend. We’re definitely on our way up and entering wave #3. Here’s the longer-term view. The 5th order polynomial model

There was very, very little substance to last week’s presidential debate. We are all dumber for having watched it. However, there was one ~60-second section that piqued my interested – on the environment and the Green New Deal. Here’s the clip: Chris Wallace asked Biden if he was in favor

On Wednesday last week we had our biggest 1-day tally since August 14 with 192 infections. The two week trend is definitely up. It sure does look like Wave 3 is here and on the rise. We had very nice weather last week, so I wonder if we might have

To Michael Shiosaki and whoever else this may concern, It’s been over 200 days that Bellevue Playgrounds have been closed. In the past several weeks, Kirkland and Redmond have both opened their playgrounds that are owned and maintained by the city. It’s time for Bellevue to do the same. The CDC has

Sorry if these posts are a little boring recently. Not a lot has happened. Feels like we’re playing the waiting game. Zooming out a little bit from the daily prediction, the 2nd half of September has been an inflection point, and numbers are ticking up. I don’t know if this

Things have been kind of plugging along in recent days. Infections are flat – not down and not up. Averages over the past few weeks are still going down, but this is more of an artifact of infections being higher 2-3 weeks ago, not that the data continues to trend

Numbers continue to tick down slightly recent days. We’ve seen an average of 77 infections per day over the past 2 weeks, down from over 100 2 weeks ago. Deaths continue to barely register – a handful last week. So, the big question is where do cases go from here?

Numbers continue to trend downward, but not as fast as the model predicted. The model lost significant power over the weekend and now has an r-squared of 0.51 – basically a coin flip. But… like any good analyst, I had a secret, backup model that I built. I’ve been running