The state of Washington has received almost 700k doses of the COVID-19 vaccine, yet has only distributed 34.8% of doses in-hand. What’s going on with the other 65% of doses? Could it be this convoluted distribution plan, which includes four phases, two tiers in the first phase, and 4 sub-tiers?
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Washington State sent $350 Million to scammers and wants employers to pick up the tab
As Governor Jay Inslee shut down the state during the initial throws of the COVID-19 pandemic, the response by the Employment Security Division (ESD), responsible for distributing unemployment benefits, was to open up the state coffers. Anyone who applied received benefits and Washington ESD didn’t bother validating the identity of
Continue readingGood for me, but not for thee
Last week, you heard here that Governor Jay Inslee and Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler want to ban the use of credit scores by insurance companies. Their two, flawed arguments are that credit scores aren’t “fair” and aren’t correlated to insurance losses (they are) and that credit scores are racist (they
Continue readingWoke Policy Proposal from Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler Does More Harm Than Good
Washington State Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler joined Jay Inslee at his press conference yesterday to advocate the ban of credit information for insurance decisions. I remember 10 years ago when Kreidler wrote an op-ed in the Seattle Times pushing this same, tired policy, and I blogged a response. Here we
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 12-10
Loyal readers! Thanks for sticking with me. Thanksgiving, life, and bad data from King County Public Health are why you haven’t heard from me in a while. But King County FINALLY updated their data yesterday, so we can do some actual analysis. I was very interested to see movement, if
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 11-16
I predicted we would see 600 infections in a day last week, and King County came in with 2 days above 600. Last Wednesday came in at a whopping 689 infections. Thursday was close at 670. So for this week, it’s not out of the realm of possibility to hit
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 11-9
Oh boy. We continue to hit new highs for infections. Last week, I predicted we would hit 500 infections in a day this week, closely followed by 600. Well, last Thursday’s number was revised higher to 494. Hitting 500 is not far off. Hospitalizations and deaths still remain VERY low.
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 11-6
Remember on Monday when I said we breached our previous record high for infections twice in one week? Well, we did it again this week. “We’re #1” has a whole new meaning now. Friday, October 30th was revised higher to 415 infections, and Wednesday hit 402 infections, which will almost
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 11-2
I really didn’t think this model would be right. There was nothing in the numbers to say things were going to go up back in September. But they sure did, and fast. The model has absolutely nailed this portion of the COVID-19 outbreak. The 7-day average today is the highest
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 10-30
Remember when I said we hit a new high last week for COVID-19 infections? Well, this week we’ve already topped that number twice. It appears we are indeed in the midst of wave three. Now the question is how high and how long it will go. I thought that this
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