I went out on a limb last week and predicted we would see a plateau. That’s exactly where we are. Here’s the 2-week chart: The model still says we’re going to grow, but we’ll see. I think we’re going to be in a holding pattern for a while. The model
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King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 7-22
The model said 194 yesterday and I called “under” based on what I see as a trend of plateauing and hopefully eventually a decrease in infections. Who was right? I’m going to declare a win in this battle. King County came in at 147 infections yesterday. The bigger win though
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 7-21
Numbers keep rising – we hit another new record over the weekend for most infections in a day. Yesterday’s number was 180. The model calls for continued increases. However, I believe we’re going to hit a plateau and potentially even start decreasing. Mask adoption has drastically improved, behaviors have changed,
Continue readingWhy you shouldn’t be afraid to send your kids to school this fall
Virtual school didn’t work for us. Sure, we muddled through, but virtual school left a lot to be desired: Limited social interaction Only 15 minutes of time with a teacher each week Difficulty staring at screens and worksheets Lots of uncertainty – were we doing things correctly? Trying to work
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 7-17
Sorry, I’ve been out of town. It’s good to be back! It was a little scary seeing how poor the testing was in Ohio. It took my dad 7 days to get his results back. In the meantime, he was not quarantining. My mom never heard back on her results
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 7-6
Even though I don’t post every day, I do check the numbers every day. On Sunday, I breathed a sigh of relief – the number was 65. I figured we would probably plateau and then head back down, with masks and phase 2 lockdowns still in place. I had no
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 7-1
I read a terrible article in the Seattle Times yesterday. It’s not just that it was bad – it was misleading and actually dangerous. The article stated that the BLM protests have nothing to do with the recent rise in COVID-19 infections in Washington State. As my kids would say…
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-29
You have to go back to April 8th to find a day with as many reported infections as today. 168. Yikes, that’s a high number of infections for a Sunday. The test result data was finally updated so we have more insight there. We’ve been averaging 2,500 tests per day,
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-26
Another big day yesterday: 110 new infections. Over the past few days, there has also been an upward revision of past data as well, going back several months. Hey, at least we’re not Florida! The models predict 48-50 infections today. I think it will be higher.
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-24
Today was not a good day for King County COVID-19 infections. We put 133 new ones on the board today, the biggest single-day tally since April 16th. It’s interesting that today was another “negative” number for deaths. King County Public health just can’t get it right. If the numbers are
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