On Saturday I posted that the model called for a steep drop in infections in the near future. That perhaps the worst was over.
Since then, we’ve seen 3 straight days of decreases in infection counts. Today’s number was 81. The last time we were that low was back on July 6th. And it’s likely that was a reporting error by King County Public Health. Beyond that, you have to go back to June 22 to find another infection count below 81.
Does this mean that the model is right? Who knows. But I like the trend.
The model remains very strong, and we should know in the next few days if it is right.