Pacific Northwest-Coast Bias

Several more “low” days, which is great. 42 was today’s number. For 3 days in a row we’ve landed below 60 and 6 days in a row below 75. However, as I’ve mentioned I believe there’s the possibility of a mini-surge on Friday/Saturday. Also, there’s an update on why the

I’m back! Let’s start with the charts… The models still have good fit. However, over the past two weeks, numbers haven’t really declined. Here are the last two weeks zoomed-in. Pretty flat. So what should we expect moving forward? I expect that line to remain pretty flat, even as Jay

I missed a day blogging yesterday – sorry about that. I had quite the streak going. It was the Elementary State Chess Tournament. Another day in the 100s. 100 exactly, to be precise. Again, both models were off – predicting a much faster decline. It makes sense that if the

This thing just isn’t flattening out as fast as everyone hoped. Another above-expectation number today. And, tomorrow is cleanup day (aka Saturday) where typically we see upward revisions from the previous few weeks. Today’s number was 99, above both models. Tomorrow’s predictions remain mostly the same: 74 and 51 for

Another (relatively) high day. This is not good if we want Jay Inslee to open things up for “Washingtonions.” 126 reported infections in King County today. That number includes revising upward the infections Tuesday to 113, which is tied as the highest daily number in 2 weeks. Another impact of