King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 5-3

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I missed a day blogging yesterday – sorry about that. I had quite the streak going. It was the Elementary State Chess Tournament.

Another day in the 100s. 100 exactly, to be precise. Again, both models were off – predicting a much faster decline. It makes sense that if the R0 number really is 1, we should be treading water for quite a while.

The models are converging! The Logarithmic model is sticking with its prediction of 74 for the 3rd day in a row. The Polynomial model jumped up to 63 (vs. 51 yesterday).

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