You have to go back to April 8th to find a day with as many reported infections as today. 168. Yikes, that’s a high number of infections for a Sunday. The test result data was finally updated so we have more insight there. We’ve been averaging 2,500 tests per day,
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-26
Another big day yesterday: 110 new infections. Over the past few days, there has also been an upward revision of past data as well, going back several months. Hey, at least we’re not Florida! The models predict 48-50 infections today. I think it will be higher.
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-24
Today was not a good day for King County COVID-19 infections. We put 133 new ones on the board today, the biggest single-day tally since April 16th. It’s interesting that today was another “negative” number for deaths. King County Public health just can’t get it right. If the numbers are
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-23
First, one comment on the country as a whole. You look at this chart of 7-day average of new infections, and you tell me if there is a 2nd wave… The model was right yesterday – predicted 40 and the county came in at 39 infections. That’s good news! However,
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-22
I raised the alert on Thursday that infections were way up, and then on Friday there was a delay in posting the data – King County didn’t update until after 8pm (normally the target is 1pm) due to “data issues.” When the number was finally posted – I checked around
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-18
Uh oh. Today’s number was 94!!! We haven’t had a number that high since May 6th. This is bad! We didn’t get approval for Phase 2 yet… I wonder if that’s on hold for now. By my numbers, we’re a hair above 25 infections per 100k. Or who knows –
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-17
Hi readers. Today’s number was 38, more than double the model @ 17. Hitting 38 is barely enough to keep us in Phase 2 consideration. Consistently hitting 40 or over is game-over. Another interesting development: The # of tests performed is down in recent days. I’m not sure what’s going
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-16
Drumroll please…. The model predicted 18, and King County came in at… 58?! 58 is a high number. For context, if King County averaged 58 infections per day, we would be at 36 infections for every 100k residents over the past 2 weeks. The benchmark for getting into Phase 2
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-15
I’m going to show you one example of how King County Public Health is intentionally trying to show COVID-19 is “under control” by showing you two side-by-side charts of the same data that has appeared on KCPH’s website: The left side is from May 5th, and shows positive COVID-19 cases
Continue readingKing County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-12
Today’s number is 60. That’s a big jump and concerning. I dug into the numbers, and half the infections are from yesterday, and the other half come from March/April/May. Yes, you read that correctly. King County shifted higher infection counts from March, April, and May by as much as 7
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