Pacific Northwest-Coast Bias

I heard a stat last week that the price of a Uhaul from San Francisco to Boise was 2X higher than the price of that same Uhaul in the opposite direction: Boise to San Francisco. The cost of doing business in San Francisco is higher than Boise, so a higher

King County has resumed updating COVID data, however, it doesn’t look very accurate. the number of tests was down 50% in the past few days. I’m guessing they put some more tests in a box in the back of their closet. Despite all that, the model has retained its strength

King County Public Health didn’t update their dashboards today due to the fires in Eastern Washington and smoke in King County. This is not a joke. Apparently the power is out at some of the reporting locations. While the dashboards aren’t updated, the raw data Excel file IS updated! So

Today is the first day of school! My wife and I are both a product of public schools. We wanted the same for our children, and we gave it our best shot. However, we’ve reached our limit and made the decision to pull our children out of public schools and

Since I left you hanging last week, here’s a mid-week update. Yesterday’s number was 104. It’s down a bit, but not in line with the model, that says it should be much lower. The model continues to lose power, so I’m going to have to figure something else out. I

Sorry it has been a few days. My readers are texting me saying, GET YOUR NEXT POST UP! I had a post ready to go last week and somehow it didn’t get posted, so today I’ll compare that model’s forecast to what happened. But first, it has been a while

The model predicted a swift downturn in infections. What actually happened? We saw a slight decrease, however, a couple of large days (170+ on Wednesday and Friday) put a damper on a big decline. However, there have been 4 days under 100 infections over the past few weeks, which is

On Saturday I posted that the model called for a steep drop in infections in the near future. That perhaps the worst was over. Since then, we’ve seen 3 straight days of decreases in infection counts. Today’s number was 81. The last time we were that low was back on

I read a great blog post on the rise and fall of the coronavirus, and it forced me to ask myself an important question. Have I been tracking the wrong KPI? Is it wrong to look at infections, and should we have been looking at deaths (or hospitalizations) all along?

Here in Bellevue, 70% of parents want to send their kids to school in-person. But teachers’ unions don’t want to go back to school (although they still want their members to get paid the same). So we have a significant issue. I propose this free-market solution to solve this problem