Pacific Northwest-Coast Bias

To Michael Shiosaki and whoever else this may concern, It’s been over 200 days that Bellevue Playgrounds have been closed. In the past several weeks, Kirkland and Redmond have both opened their playgrounds that are owned and maintained by the city. It’s time for Bellevue to do the same. The CDC has

Sorry if these posts are a little boring recently. Not a lot has happened. Feels like we’re playing the waiting game. Zooming out a little bit from the daily prediction, the 2nd half of September has been an inflection point, and numbers are ticking up. I don’t know if this

Things have been kind of plugging along in recent days. Infections are flat – not down and not up. Averages over the past few weeks are still going down, but this is more of an artifact of infections being higher 2-3 weeks ago, not that the data continues to trend

Numbers continue to tick down slightly recent days. We’ve seen an average of 77 infections per day over the past 2 weeks, down from over 100 2 weeks ago. Deaths continue to barely register – a handful last week. So, the big question is where do cases go from here?

Numbers continue to trend downward, but not as fast as the model predicted. The model lost significant power over the weekend and now has an r-squared of 0.51 – basically a coin flip. But… like any good analyst, I had a secret, backup model that I built. I’ve been running

I heard a stat last week that the price of a Uhaul from San Francisco to Boise was 2X higher than the price of that same Uhaul in the opposite direction: Boise to San Francisco. The cost of doing business in San Francisco is higher than Boise, so a higher

King County has resumed updating COVID data, however, it doesn’t look very accurate. the number of tests was down 50% in the past few days. I’m guessing they put some more tests in a box in the back of their closet. Despite all that, the model has retained its strength

King County Public Health didn’t update their dashboards today due to the fires in Eastern Washington and smoke in King County. This is not a joke. Apparently the power is out at some of the reporting locations. While the dashboards aren’t updated, the raw data Excel file IS updated! So

Today is the first day of school! My wife and I are both a product of public schools. We wanted the same for our children, and we gave it our best shot. However, we’ve reached our limit and made the decision to pull our children out of public schools and

Since I left you hanging last week, here’s a mid-week update. Yesterday’s number was 104. It’s down a bit, but not in line with the model, that says it should be much lower. The model continues to lose power, so I’m going to have to figure something else out. I