King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 6-23

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First, one comment on the country as a whole. You look at this chart of 7-day average of new infections, and you tell me if there is a 2nd wave…

The model was right yesterday – predicted 40 and the county came in at 39 infections. That’s good news!

However, still extremely low # of tests being performed. Previously, we were averaging 1,500 per day. The past 4 days have a combined 850 tests. And 20%+ of those tests are coming back positive. There has to be more testing going on than this.

The model predicts 41/45 for today.

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