King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 9-21

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Numbers continue to tick down slightly recent days. We’ve seen an average of 77 infections per day over the past 2 weeks, down from over 100 2 weeks ago.

Deaths continue to barely register – a handful last week.

So, the big question is where do cases go from here? The model continues to call for Wave 3 – very soon. This 5th order polynomial model didn’t lose any power in the past week, however, I suspect it will quickly lose power if infections don’t tick up in the next few days.

Here’s a great video explaining the difference between infections and deaths, and where this thing is headed:

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