King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 3-15

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Man was wiser than machine today. Coming into the weekend, the model said 72, but I knew it was going to be a lot lower than that. I said 50-60, and King County actuals came in at 32. It could be the impact of the school closures and social distancing efforts (which would be great). However, my guess is that the weekend drove a lot of this.

The model weakened with the latest results, however, going strong with a prediction of 73 for tomorrow. My personal guess is a repeat of today; in the 30s.

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