I love reading Nate Silver’s Five Thirty Eight blog (now part of NY Times). Reading it for the political insight is great, but I actually read it for his methodologies. The way he leverages the trends of polls to create his own forecast is fascinating (and more accurate than the
Continue readingWho’s most under-rated/over-rated in College Football?
I’ve previously posted about the perils of computer polls in College Football’s BCS system. But the computer algorithms that the BCS has banned can give us tremendous insight into who is under-rated and who is over-rated. If you remember last time, I called out Oregon State and Michigan State as
Continue readingThe Sporting News awards give insight into who will win the Cy Young
The Sporting News announced the winners of the 2010 Pitchers of the Year today for the AL and NL. Felix Hernandez of the Mariners and Roy Halladay of the Phillies were the recipients. How does that impact their chances of winning the CY Young? They’re 80% likely to win I
Continue readingIs Mel Kiper Jr. working for a sports agent?
If you’ve visited this blog before, you may know that I’m no fan of Mel Kiper Jr. His bombastic style and galea-like hair make him a regular on ESPN, but his mock drafts suck. And now, with the must-read expose by Josh Luchs, there are allegations that he’s working as
Continue readingTwitter Weekly Updates for 2010-10-17
Jim Tressel is the 1st coach to reach 100 wins with 2 D-I schools # Finally some common sense to left turns RT @bellevuewa Flashing yellow turn arrows to be added in Factoria http://bit.ly/aubz37 # According to ESPN, Randy Moss said to Tom Brady "You need to get your hair
Continue readingI trust computer polls, but not with a sub-optimal algorithm
Next week the BCS rankings will come out, which will be used to determine who goes to the national championship game. The formula is a combination of 2 human polls – the USA Today Poll and the Harris Poll – and computer rankings. Being an analyst by nature, I love
Continue readingTwitter Weekly Updates for 2010-10-10
Terrelle Pryor said the "pop" he heard on the play that sidelined him vs. Illinois was his leg brace # Michigan has lost 13 straight Big Ten matches to teams that aren't Indiana or Minnesota # Discovered the secret ingredient of office window washers: Dawn # Does Randy Moss get
Continue readingDo NFL teams perform differently after a bye-week?
As the Randy Moss trade reverberated through Twitter and the Blogosphere, the Fantasy Football owner in me couldn’t have been more excited. Why? Not because Randy Moss will actually put up more points in Minnesota (in fact, he probably won’t) but because he avoided the dreaded “Bye-week.” Minnesota took its
Continue readingIn Fantasy Football, it’s all about the end of the draft
We’re only 4 weeks into the NFL season, and any preconceived notions you had about how the season would shape up has already been turned on its head (unless you’re talking about the NFC West). In short, the Chiefs are the only undefeated team, and the Eagles hail from Vickadelphia.
Continue readingTwitter Weekly Updates for 2010-10-03
Wish I could root against both Florida and Alabama on Saturday. # I was weird being at the Mariners game last night thinking that Griffey was on the team last time I was there. # Jim Tressel is the only coach in major-college football that teaches an academic class during
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