King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 4-4

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Good news all around. King County reported 111 infections today (below the model’s estimate of 166). 12% of tests were positive, down for the 2nd straight day. Tests remain at about 1,000.

The model is sticking with its guns and predicting 160 tomorrow. I also built a model using only the last 14 days, at it is predicting 121 for tomorrow. Look at the trendline down. This model predicts we’ll hit 0 in 2 months.

Battle of the dueling models. I think we’ll be closer to 121 than 160 tomorrow.

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