King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 4-30

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Another (relatively) high day. This is not good if we want Jay Inslee to open things up for “Washingtonions.”

126 reported infections in King County today. That number includes revising upward the infections Tuesday to 113, which is tied as the highest daily number in 2 weeks.

Another impact of several consecutive days of above-average numbers: the models are breaking. Both the polynomial and logarithmic models saw their r-squared values decline. However, both of them basically did a “reset” and are maintaining yesterday’s prediction. 52 for polynomial, and 74 for logarithmic.

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