King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 4-20

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The model said 95, and the county came in today a bit above that at 121. However, 44% of the infections we from earlier in the week/month/year. I’m surprised there is still such a lag.

The model isn’t flinching – predicting 85 for tomorrow and 0 in 12 days. That curve is looking like a pretty good fit – let’s see if the tail matches the polynomial model.

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