King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 3-31

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Another day much below expectations (and the model) in King County yesterday. Could this be a trend? I’m excited about the results.

King County came in at 171 yesterday, much below the model’s predictions, and the number of tests conducted were about 2/3 of the highs of last week. % infected is about the same at 14% of yesterday’s tests. Is it that fewer tests are being done? Or just that fewer people have symptoms?

The model says 209 for today. Based on recent trends, I’m going to take the under, however, I think there’s a chance that some results were delayed and we could see a bigger day today. We’ll see at 1pm.

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