King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 3-23

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Sometimes, the model just nails it. The model said 127, and the county came in at 130. Not bad. What is bad: 5 straight days above 100 infections for King County.

The model calls for 138 tomorrow, however, based on the weekly “seasonality” of dips due to weekend testing, I’m guessing tomorrow is a down day. If you remember from last week, daily totals were down on Tuesday and Wednesday, most likely because that’s when weekend test results come in.

My guess for Tuesday is 65. Here we go for another round of man-vs.-machine.

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