King County Coronavirus Daily Prediction: 3-18

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It’s so unfortunate that there were 10 deaths reported today. However, it’s good news that there were only 44 reported infections. The past few days have had significantly fewer reported infections. That’s good news. I hope it is indicative of real trends and not just poor testing.

The daily model has now turned. It predicts daily infections will peak in the next 10 days and then turn around. This is hard to believe. Prediction for tomorrow is 54

The cumulative model still shows arithmetic growth, but only 3.5 infections added per day.

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