I built a model to predict King County, Washington, daily Corona Virus infections. My model says there will be a bit of regression to the mean today, with 14 infections (vs. 33 yesterday), putting us at 130. However, 14 would still be the 3rd highest day on record for King County.
The model predicts an acceleration coming up, with 30-40 per day next week. The model fit: R-squared = 0.9899
We’ll see the actuals at 1pm!